A few months ago, I wrote an article explaining why I
thought the European Union should disband. Given the fact that the euro
continues to perform miserably against other currencies, member states continue
to bicker over the best way to ameliorate economic woes, and citizens of those
states worst off continue to violently protest new austerity measures, I still
think disbanding may be necessary and inevitable. However, I am fully cognizant
of the repercussions such a move would have not only on Europe, but also on the
rest of the world. Such a bold and critical move may not be advisable in the
short term, and for now it appears that the European Union is safe from my
forecasted demise.
However, if this is the case, there are very few reasons why
Turkey should continue to be shuttered from the European Union’s borders.
Perhaps Chancellor Merkel, President Hollande and the other heads of state have
more pressing matters to deliberate over these days, but the issue of Turkish
accession should be given much more thought than it is at the moment.
Turkey has been seeking accession into the European Union
since 1995 – almost two decades. Their application for E.U. membership has
always been in contention for several reasons, primarily Turkey being a
predominantly Muslim state. The European Union has its fair share of far-right
anti-Muslim nations, but overall most of the member states have even subtle
xenophobic tendencies. There is certainly no such thing as a Muslim member
state thus far – Albania, Kosovo, and Bosnia and Herzegovina have the current
highest populations, which still only make up less than 10% of the overall
European population.
The other elephant in the room is Turkey’s other neighbors –
Iran, Iraq, and Syria – and the possible implications this could have on the
European Union. The Schengen Agreement of 1985 established the “Schengen Area”,
comprised of twenty-six of the European Union member states (excluding the
United Kingdom and Ireland). The Schengen Area, under the agreement, has open
borders, and citizens can move from state to state as easily as Americans can
move from state to state within U.S. The European Union’s timidity when it
comes to the Middle East and ongoing tensions there is evident in their
reluctance to admit Turkey. This accession would effectively open up Turkey’s
border with E.U. states to anyone entering Turkey – legally or illegally – and
could result in increased terrorism, a significantly higher Muslim population
and increased difficulty in keeping track of the spread of Middle Eastern
turmoil. Especially now, given the situation in Syria, widespread exodus could
spill over through Turkey into much of the rest of the European Union. The
European Union, with their economic difficulties right now, can simply not
accommodate such immediate and massive immigration, and would have a very hard
time shutting their borders down.
These are, of course, two very real talking points between
Turkey and the European Union members. At least until the unrest in Syria
dissipates, the European Union will be extremely refractory when it comes to
the topic of Turkish accession. On the other hand though, there are several
reasons why accession would actually be beneficial to the E.U. Turkey may be a
predominantly Muslim state, but it is also a bastion of democracy and can act
as a role model for many of the other Muslim states not yet secularized. Turkey
also has the fifteenth-largest economy in the world, at just under $800 billion
in 2011. An economy that size would be a major asset to the floundering E.U.
right now. Germany already recognizes this – they are Turkey’s largest trading
partner, with the two trading approximately $40 billion in goods last year.
Finally, Turkey is one of the most crucial players in the
current global political arena. Strategically speaking, their position in
between the Middle East and Europe could be extremely advantageous as a buffer
zone in the future. Not to mention Turkey’s military strength – they are the
second largest contributor to NATO and a key military ally to both Europe and
the U.S. Instead of expressing concern about Turkey’s open borders should they
be admitted to the E.U., member states should be considering what may happen
should they refuse Turkey accession: Turkey could very likely look towards the
Middle East, China and Russia to strengthen ties with instead. With such a
large economy and large military, tensions would exacerbate quickly if this
were the case.
Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan
Take your time, E.U. I’m not suggesting this is a dire
decision and needs to be made immediately. With the stakes so high in both the
E.U. and the Middle East these days, it seems imprudent to continue pushing
Turkey away. After recent negotiations, Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan said “No
other country has been kept waiting, knocking on the door of the E.U., for such
a long time.” The E.U. should not let Turkey’s eagerness for accession disappear,
or they may have a lot more than an economic crisis to deal with in the
upcoming years.
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